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Quality Status Report 2000
Chapter 2 - Geography, hydrography and climate
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Definition of the OSPAR Convention area
2.3 Bottom topography
2.4 Geology and sediments
2.5 Description of the coastal margin
2.6 Estuaries, fjords, rias and wetlands
2.7 Catchment area and freshwater run-off
2.8 Water masses
2.9 Circulation and volume transport
2.10 Waves, tides and storm surges
2.11 Transport of solids
2.12 Meteorology
2.13 Climate variability and climate change
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Figure 2.1 The OSPAR maritime area covers an overall oceanic area of about 13.5 x 106 km2 and has a volume of 30 x 106 km3 . |
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The major topographical features in the OSPAR maritime area are the Mid-Atlantic Ridge (with the Azores and Iceland as its highest points), and the Greenland-Scotland Ridge (which separates the Atlantic Basin from the Nordic Seas) (Figure 2.2). Water depths range from around 5000 m on either side of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, to less than 200 m on the continental shelf along the European coast. In some places seamounts occur as submerged single mountains or chains of mountains along the ocean floor. The most extensive continental shelf areas are found in the North Sea and Celtic Seas. Other shelf seas are found around Iceland, Greenland and in the Barents Sea. In contrast, along the Iberian coast and to the west of Norway, the shelf break is quite close to the coastline (Figure 2.2). |
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Figure 2.2 Bottom topography. Source of data: ETOPO5 database, National Geophysical Data Centre, US. |
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Figure 2.3 Catchment areas of the OSPAR Regions and the Baltic Sea. The inset shows the major rivers discharging to the Russian Arctic (see Table 2.1). |
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Box 2.1 |
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The energy release by the North Atlantic warms the air over Europe. North-western Europe and the northern North Atlantic region, in particular, have a climate that is some 5 – 10 °C warmer than the zonal mean. This gives a climate, which is very benign relative to the same latitudes elsewhere. Yet this has not always been the case. Past climatic records reveal that there have been several occasions when, for reasons not yet firmly established, the climate of Europe suffered major cooling events that occurred very rapidly (10 to 100 years). The global thermohaline circulation (or 'Ocean Conveyor'), and its switching on and off in the North Atlantic, has been suggested as the source of these rapid and potentially disastrous fluctuations. A variety of historic records suggest that such a rapid shift could happen again, particularly if atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide increase steeply. The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has drawn a number of conclusions concerning the impact of climate change over Europe and the North Atlantic (IPCC, 1997). They noted that most of Europe experienced temperature increases this century larger than the global average together with enhanced precipitation in the northern half and decreased precipitation in the southern half of the region. Projections of future climate, not taking into account the effect of aerosols, indicate that precipitation in high latitudes of Europe may increase, with mixed results for other parts of Europe. The effects of aerosols mainly exacerbate the current uncertainties about future precipitation. The IPCC further noted that water supply might be affected by possible increases in floods in northern and north-western Europe and by droughts in southern parts of the continent. A warmer climate could lead to reduced water quality, particularly if accompanied by reduced run-off. Warmer summers would probably also lead to increased water demand. Expected changes in snow and ice will impact upon European rivers, affecting, for example, summer water supply, shipping and hydropower. The IPCC report also notes the ecological importance of coastal zones. Some coastal areas are already beneath mean sea level, and many others are vulnerable to storm surges. Areas most at risk in Europe include the Dutch and German coastal zones. Storm surges, changes in precipitation, and changes in wind speed and direction add to the concern of coastal planners. In general, major economic and social impacts can be contained with relatively low investment. This is not true, however, for a number of low-lying urban areas vulnerable to storm surges, nor for ecosystems, particularly coastal wetlands, which may be even further damaged by protective measures. There is some evidence of a change in the climate of the OSPAR area, or, at least, of some changes in the ocean circulation and water mass characteristics. The amount of Atlantic water in the Arctic Ocean has increased during recent years, the temperature in the deep water of the Norwegian Sea has increased and there are indications of changes in the Iceland–Scotland Ridge overflow. The Annual ICES Ocean Climate Status Summary shows relatively high temperatures in the North Atlantic during the 1990s. Most areas show a warming trend, although the temperature has been going down in the subpolar North Atlantic, between Greenland and Iceland (Read and Gould, 1992). There is a poor understanding of observed ocean climate variability, because of the complex interaction of forcing parameters. A better understanding of the cause of ocean climate variability is of major importance in predicting future climate impacts. Also the impacts of the climate change are rather uncertain. Some climate change models are predicting a global sea level rise. A mean sea level rise of 50 cm during the next 100 years has been forecast, putting low-lying coastal areas and wetlands particularly at risk from flooding.
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